Fix outlier re-persisting causing problems with sliding sync tables
Follow-up to https://github.com/element-hq/synapse/pull/17512
When running on `matrix.org`, we discovered that a remote invite is
first persisted as an `outlier` and then re-persisted again where it is
de-outliered. The first the time, the `outlier` is persisted with one
`stream_ordering` but when persisted again and de-outliered, it is
assigned a different `stream_ordering` that won't end up being used.
Since we call `_calculate_sliding_sync_table_changes()` before
`_update_outliers_txn()` which fixes this discrepancy (always use the
`stream_ordering` from the first time it was persisted), we're working
with an unreliable `stream_ordering` value that will possibly be unused
and not make it into the `events` table.